Spencer Strider continues to dominate and reaches an important stage


Spencer Strider
Del Zaneen – USA TODAY Sports

after, after Aaron Judge And the Shuhei Ohtani – in what order do you want to put them, I said my article There may not be a player in the majors who puts numbers that boggle the mind Spencer StriderDo. The 23-year-old rookie has been quite dominant this season, particularly since entering the Braves tournament on May 30. road.

With the usual one or two punch of fastball with a four-seat top of the ’90s and a baffling slide, Strider hit 10 Phillies in six runs during his 5-2 win, with Nick Mattoon Going down swings against a 99 mph heater in the fifth inning versus no. 200. Strider had no hitter at the time, and had kept it for 5.2 runs before Alec Boom Connected against him for Homer’s solo.

Strider became the sixth shooter to reach 200 penalties this season. What’s unusual is the few rounds I needed to do this compared to the previous five:

Jugs with 200 Strike Out in 2022

jar Team IP TBF So K% date 200 runs up to 200
Gerrit Cole New York 182.1 725 236 32.6% 8/26 157.1
Carlos Rodon SFG 167.2 670 220 32.8% 9/4 157.0
Corbin Burns MI 179.0 713 219 30.7% 9/3 163.1
stop dylan CHW 167.0 674 214 31.8% 9/8 158.0
Aaron Nola PH 186.1 736 210 28.5% 9/6 177.1
Spencer Strider ATL 131.2 528 202 38.3% 9/18 130.0

Source: baseball reference

In fact, Strider Create a record For the minimum number of rounds needed to reach a plateau of 200 strokes, do so in 130 rounds, 0.2 less than Randy Johnson Wanted in 2001. Cole was the second fastest performer by this metric, achieving it in 133.2 runs in 2019.

To be fair, Johnson was doing so in a much less striking environment. With a K%+, a natural strike rate where 100 equals the league average, Johnson had a mark of 208 in 2001, meaning he was hitting a hitter at just over twice the league average. Using a 120-stroke cut, this ranks 13th among the pitchers of the Integration Era (1947 onwards). Strider has “only” 170K%+, which means he hits hitters at 1.7 times the league rate, only 105 with these parameters. As with many context-adjusted promotion stats, it is Pedro Martinez Who exactly tops this list, with 239K+% in 1999, the year he hit 313 hitters in 213.1 innings. Martinez reached 200 in 147 runs across Rare relief appearance Entail this by arriving late to the field (and predicting the Divison Series 5 Championships After two months).

Strider is the 17th rookie since 1901 to hit 200 hitters in a single season, the first in this millennium to do so without previously participating in Nippon Professional Baseball:

Beginner pitchers with 200 strike out

Cautionary anecdotes abound in the list above, though the problems of Score, Gooden, and Wood—to name just three of the most famous—bear little to do with one another. The time distribution of these players is noteworthy, with four bowlers (including Hall of Famers Mathewson and Alexander) from the Dead Ball Era, then only one between that period and between the 1960s, ’70s and ’80s, and then jumping to five from the Wild Card Era, Three of them started in Japan. If you are wondering about K%+ of this group, the score (222), Gooden (212), Wood (190), and Nomo (177) all beat Strider.

Strider is also the first of those rookies whose total hit count is more than double the total hits allowed. Using the same 120 pitchers, only 11 pitchers multiplied this way, including one more pitchers this year and two last year:

Jugs with double the number of hits allowed

jar Team season age IP h K k/h
Spencer Strider ATL 2022 23 131.2 86 202 2.35
Christian Jaffer ho 2022 25 131.2 85 173 2.04
Freddy Peralta MI 2021 25 144.1 84 195 2.32
Carlos Rodon CHW 2021 28 132.2 91 185 2.03
Gerrit Cole ho 2019 28 212.1 142 326 2.30
Justin Verlander ho 2019 36 223.0 137 300 2.19
Max Scherzer WSN 2018 33 220.2 150 300 2.00
chris sel boss 2018 29 158.0 102 237 2.32
Max Scherzer WSN 2017 32 200.2 126 268 2.13
Randy Johnson AR 2001 37 249.2 181 372 2.06
Pedro Martinez boss 2000 28 217.0 128 284 2.22

Source: baseball reference

Minimum 120 round erected.

Talking again about how the high-hit era made this possible, all but two of the past six shooters have been, Johnson and Martinez being the only shooters to have done this before; The above seasons for both Johnson and Cole are represented here. Note that Javier has flown somewhat under the radar in making this list, as most of the attention that has gone into the rookie Astros has gone to Verlander, the AL winning and ERA captain and likely the first Cy Young winner, and Framber Valdezwho was on the outskirts of discussing Cy Young and Fair Set a record in one season With his twenty-fifth in a row.

These impressive numbers shouldn’t obscure Strider’s influence on the Braves season. He’s taken some giant strides in no time since he was selected in the fourth round of the 2020 Draft by Clemson University, having missed the entire previous season due to Tommy John’s surgery. After making five-level appearances in 2021, from ball A to the majors (2.1 rounds in two regular season games in October), he broke camp with the team in April and made 13 comfortable appearances, mostly dominating low-impact positions (2.22 ERA, 1.42 FIP, 38.9% write-off rate). He joined the shift on May 30th and quickly consolidated the 5th place behind him Max FriedAnd the Charlie MortonAnd the Kyle WrightAnd the Ian Anderson. By most metrics, he’s outdone them all in that time frame:

Since Strider joined the spin on May 30

jar p IP K% BB% HR / 9 era FIP war
Spencer Strider 20 107.1 38.1% 7.9% 0.59 2.77 1.91 4.2
Max Fried 18 114.1 22.9% 4.5% 0.55 2.20 2.70 3.1
Charlie Morton 19 113.1 31.9% 7.9% 1.51 3.73 3.95 1.4
Kyle Wright 19 116.1 21.7% 6.7% 1.16 3.40 3.95 1.4
Ian Anderson 13 64.0 21.1% 10.7% 0.84 5.48 3.92 0.7
Jake Odorese 7 33.2 18.4% 7.5% 1.87 4.54 5.28 0.0

Strider is fourth in the innings among this group but leads the group – even Fried, who made the NL All-Star Team – with more than a full win in the period. Including his time in Bullpen, he has a 4.9-4.6 advantage on WAR on Fried and the lowest FIP ​​(1.83) and xERA (2.39) of the group; His 2.67 ERA is second only to Fried’s 2.52. Between Wright’s settlement after a strong start and Anderson making his way Back to Triple-A (And suffering lately slant strain which will likely end his season), Strider’s performance looms large in terms of Brave transformation from 23-27.

In fact, Strider’s FIP and xERA are the lowest difference between shooters with at least 130 rounds, 38.3% strike rate and 29.7% strike-walk difference being the highest. Despite not qualifying for the ERA title by 15.1 rounds (the Braves played 147 games, totaled 131.2 rounds), he ranked seventh in the WAR majors behind Rodon (5.7), Nola (5.5), Kevin Gussman (5.2), Verlander (5.1), Sandy Alcantara (5.1), and Otani (5.0).

Remarkably, Strider does all of this as a duet pitcher, more or less. It’s like the closest person throwing five turns at the beginning of the game (to paraphrase someone you’ve forgotten momentarily; I apologize in advance). There is no starting jar He throws his four-tailers a lot like Strider (67%), but beyond that, he’s a good four-tail tailor. Not only does it average 98.2 mph with high rev (2,343 rpm, which puts it in the 76th percentile), but it also has plenty of movement and bluff thanks to its size (listed as 6-foot-0) and extension (6.9 feet, 93rd percentile). When combined with such speed – hey, good luck. like Justin Choi Wrote In July in a Fastball comparison of Strider with a game Hunter Greenwho hit three numbers more regularly (28% of all four tailors, compared to 5% for Strider):

[A] The lack of height works in his favour, as Strider is able to reach the top of the ball without having to raise his launch point significantly. You can also tell from their respective deliveries that Strider shoots the ball closer to the home plate than Greene does. The benefit of the extra stretch is straightforward: for a hitter, the pitch appears faster and therefore more difficult to handle. Strider triples are more destructive than Green triples.

… Compared to the Greene, it is the Strider that not only creates more vertical movement but also unleashes it with a lower firing point and longer reach. As a result, its angle of approach becomes flatter, giving the illusion of height.

Updated table that Choi included in comparison:

Spencer Strider vs Hunter Green Fast Bowl comparison

jar velocity V mov (inch) H Mov (in.) V Rel (feet) H Rel (feet) extension (feet)
Spencer Strider 98.2 17.6 5.2 5.7 2.0 6.9
Hunter Green 98.7 15.9 11.5 6.0 2.4 6.4

Source: SOURCE: Alex Chamberlain’s Pitch Leadboard

Negative values ​​for horizontal movement and release point have been inverted for ease of reading.

The Batters only managed .201 and .295 cooldowns when connected to Strider’s fastball, which isn’t all that given their 27.7% whiff rate. They suffered the most with his passer, which has improved dramatically since Eric Longenhagen rated the pitch as “still below average and not bad enough to miss bats in the strike zone” in His likely report for the month of June, and categorized as 40 present and 45 future. He throws it 28.2% of the time, with a hit of 0.139, it hits 0.17 and splits 52.2% of the time. He rolled his arsenal with a change (4.8%), which despite its minimal use has baffled speculators, coming to 0.136 and hitting 0.237 against him, sniffing 47.5% of the time.

If there is a hit on Strider, it means that he generally does not go deep into the games due to several deep counts. He averaged a 4.31 high in the NL per plate appearance, and he’s only thrown twice over six rounds, most recently with his eight-stroke, two-time effort on September 1 against the Rockies, during which he set a franchise record with 16 hits. Director Brian Snicker was reasonably cautious with him and built it slowly; It averaged 90 pitches per start in June, with progression to 93, 94 and 104 pitches each month since then. In his last six starts, he threw between 102 and 106 throws (his season high) and went six rounds at least five times, reaching 1.70 ERA and 1.46 FIP along the way. He threw 96.1 runs last year, so he’s over 35 now, and I imagine the Braves’ post-season plans for him are to stick with the five- to six-run maneuvers and let the Bulls take care of the rest.

Altogether, Strider has had a great season. With all due respect to his teammate Michael Harris II, who has made .305/.343/.537 with 142 wRC+ and 4.4 WAR since arriving May 28 and has played a similarly instrumental role in the team’s turnaround, I think Strider would be my choice for the NL Rookie of the Year. What Harris did is special and impressive, but as the numbers above indicate, what Strider did is out of this world.


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