Purdue vs. Ohio State odds
The #1 crew within the nation heads to Columbus as Ohio State welcomes Purdue.
The Boilermakers fell to Rutgers at house Monday, giving Purdue its first lack of the season. Purdue was 13-0 with massive wins over Duke and Gonzaga earlier than that. In the meantime, Ohio State took Northwest on the street and improved to 10-3.
Can Ohio State defend its house flooring Thursday evening, or will 7-foot-4 Zack Eddy be an excessive amount of for the Buckeyes’ inside nook? Let’s check out the percentages and make a betting prediction.
Purdue will not be in first place after faltering towards Rutgers, however that does not detract from the truth that the Boilermakers have been stellar within the opening two months and have defeated Marquette, Gonzaga and Duke with relative ease.
Success at offensive finish begins with Edey, who’s 7-foot-4. He’s used on 30.7% of his possessions whereas on the bottom, commits top-10 errors and is a double stroll.
He set online game numbers with 21.7 factors, 13.4 rebounds and a pair of.2 blocks per sport. He’s additionally second amongst all Division I gamers in offensive rebound charge.
It is actually arduous to restrain Eddie due to his measurement. Groups steadily attempt to double down on the place crew and pressure it out of the paint.
Purdue is 20 in turnover, which implies they not often make errors. However the Boilermakers’ weak spot comes from the rotational gamers surrounding Edey. Purdue is 302 in three-point offense and is simply outdoors the highest 100 in eFG%.
Solely two gamers common double digits – Eddie and Fletcher Lauer – and the latter struggles effectively. Braden Smith has been a fantastic free kicker — 41.7% from three, 8.9 factors per sport — however he is used lower than 20% of the possessions.
There’s a lot left on the desk to humiliate Bordeaux. The boilermakers labored at a sluggish and methodical tempo, however the effectivity was seldom there.
Defensively, Matt Painter has finished an amazing job. Boilermakers do not pressure turnovers, however they not often miss – second within the FTA/FGA – they usually end twenty second in 3-point protection.
Bordeaux prefers a slower paced sport off the sector. That is the place his protection works finest. Boilermakers don’t overextend and infrequently pressure contested pictures.
Regardless of her inexperience—288th within the nation—Purdue has proven she will stand up to robust situations. The Boilermakers beat each Gonzaga and Duke on impartial pitch and crushed Nebraska within the Large Ten sport on the street.
Rebuilding his roster just about from scratch, Chris Holtmann has turned Ohio State right into a Large Ten contender.
The Buckeyes are ranked 350 inside minutes of continuity, but they sit inside the highest 75 in Division I expertise. A lot of that has come from the additions of prime transfers Sean McNeil, Isaac Likeley and Tanner Holden. Choose Swing can also be again after struggling a season-ending harm after simply two video games final yr.
The tip consequence was a dominant offense that ranked second in modified effectivity, per Kenpom. Ohio State has the right mixture of sharpshooters and indoor physicality. Brice Sensabaugh and Bruce Thornton each hit a triple-clip of 45.9% or higher, and Sean McNeil remained within the excessive 30s.
This heavy assault doesn’t flip the ball over and may be very aggressive on the glass. The Buckeyes are ninth in offensive rebound charge and thirty fifth in two-point offense. Zed Key’s breakout of the junior season was a significant factor in OSU’s non-conference success. He averaged 13.4 factors, 8.4 rebounds and 1.3 blocks per sport. He additionally shoots 70.6% on two-point makes an attempt.
The Buckeyes boast good offense with 4 gamers averaging in double digits, and McNeil is true behind them with a mean of 9.9 per sport. Ohio State has been held underneath 70 factors solely twice this season.
Defensively, Ohio State’s size causes a whole lot of perimeter turbulence. The Buckeyes are ranked tenth in 3-point protection with just one participant underneath 6-foot-4.
This is not a protection that aggressively forces turnovers—they’re 292 in TO charge—however they typically pressure contested, tough pictures. The Buckeyes are ranked twenty fourth in eFG% and forty third in FTA/FGA, which implies they’re disciplined, too.
Holtmann’s largest drawback is his measurement within the frontcourt. Key typically runs the middle place at 6-foot-8, and Ohio State has freshman Felix Okpara backing him up at 6-foot-11. The duo is an efficient rebounder and deterrent across the rim, however the lack of measurement might be a difficulty towards Edey.
Purdue vs ohio state betting choose
Purdue goes by means of an upset loss to Rutgers, however I am undecided it should bounce again towards a crew as skilled and bodily as Ohio State.
The Buckeyes won’t ever have a solution for Edey. He is acquired eight inches on Key and can acquire about twice on each feed within the publish. However Ohio State’s protection has confirmed crippling and his size ought to trigger issues for Purdue’s perimeter offense.
The Boilermakers might be compelled to take robust three-yard pictures, they usually aren’t a fantastic taking pictures crew to start with. Take into account the truth that they’re getting into a loud street surroundings, and all indicators level to a different day of struggles.
Within the meantime, I feel this alignment is absolutely good for Ohio State. Edey clearly throws a wrinkle into the sport plan, however Key has the power to stretch the ground – or at the least pull Edey off the sting.
This opens the door for each Sueing and Sensabaugh to work inside. Ohio State can win many scorers and is usually a drain on bodily energy, particularly on the offensive glass.
The Buckeyes have been the #1 offense from an effectivity standpoint all season. Common 1.179 dpi per Haslametricsand regardless of how massive Eddie is, preserve all of the playing cards within the Large Ten sport.
Despite the fact that Purdue will not be first crew for for much longer, it is nonetheless an enormous sport for Ohio State.
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